Every cricket fan wants to learn how to make cricket match predictions. However, you need to have some technical knowledge about the game. Also, it would help if you have a deeper understanding of probability theory and have some skills in collecting data and analyzing the game of cricket.
Before you can predict who will win today’s match, you need to do some analysis. Without proper analysis, you can’t predict cricket matches accurately.
Creating your system using algorithms in predicting winners is the best strategy. The algorithm is used to assess the probability of an outcome. Then, you can compare this to the bookmaker’s odds to determine which are the profitable bets.
Profitable cricket betting is not only predicting who will win. It also helps you bet on the right team. If not, you will not be able to make money at this. Below are ways on how cricket match predictions are made and some online betting cricket tips. When you are ready, there are many excellent cricket betting sites where you can place your bets.
Use Probability Theory
Probability is a manner of assessing the chance of something to happen. You can calculate the possibility of how likely or unlikely a situation may occur.
For instance, you are making your today’s toss prediction in the cricket match. You want to predict who will win the toss between India vs. Australia. The following factors can be used to predict the results for the toss:
- The number of tosses won by a team in the last 20 games
- Toss outcome record in the past
- The head-to-head toss winner of the two teams in their past games
- Team captain’s chances to win the toss in the previous games
The toss prediction is based on different parameters and data stats. However, the toss outcome is always a 50/50 chance of probability. It means the probability for the head or tail to show is 50%.
The Spreadsheet Method
You need to gather the correct data to predict the score. For instance, when you predict the final score of the playing 11 today, you can also use this technique to determine the possible score of each player.
Along with knowledge of using a spreadsheet, you will need a good amount of data to complete your excel sheet. So, if you want to predict the scores for the playing 11 today’s match, data needed includes the name of the countries playing, the overs to be played, if the match is in progress, then the runs already scored, wickets lost if any, and so on.
You can create your own model or search for some models online. As we all know, the online cricket satta bazaar in India is pretty active and you will find lots of information, such as live cricket satta rates, as required.
Watch Every Single Game of Cricket
Bookmakers have traders whose only job is to watch all cricket betting games and update their database. Some of the data needed to update include teams, stadiums, players, surfaces, and other helpful statistics and information.
By dedicating your time to the sport, you can easily notice things that those casual viewers don’t see. These can be added to your list of cricket tips to follow when you want to bet online.
For example, you can identify when the batsman is having some difficulty against left-handed bowlers. Perhaps you have found a bowler who performs low on slower wickets but excels on fast wickets, make a note of the same.
Focus on how teams perform when playing on their home grounds. Some teams find it easier to play somewhere else to reduce pressure from home fans.
Also, you can check reliable news sources and read cricket stats. This will help increase your knowledge about the game.
Follow Cricket News and Cricketers on Social Media
Following the teams, coaches, and cricketers on social media can also help you in predicting. If you do this, you might get ahead of the bookmakers.
Most of the time, players update their conditions and situations through social media. You will know right away if a player will miss the game due to injury and be able to take odds on the other team. Do not read these only before the match, you need to follow this type of news on a regular basis.
By merely being a cricket fan or just forming your dream team for today’s match, you cannot make cricket predictions fully. You need to be a hardcore cricket enthusiast who follows the game throughout the year on all fronts and for all players. Work hard on gathering information on many other aspects and then use your forecasts to earn some money. If you want to take it to the next level, then read about the history and biography of your favourite players. The majority of fans want to learn about the Indian captain Virat Kohli, both from a personal and professional point of view, as it brings out the emotional aspects of betting.
Find an Edge
You will find many free betting tips for cricket online, and we have collated all the important ones on our site.
To find an edge in your cricket betting to make your predictions probability higher than the odds you get online, there are lots of variables to consider. It is almost impossible to work out the true odds of a cricket match.
Keep in mind, the odds you find online are the bookmaker’s opinions and calculations. If you try harder, your today’s cricket match predictions can be more accurate and will win you a good amount of real money.
Rules that apply to this are simple. If India is playing cricket against other teams, most of the bets will be on India to win.
Bookies earn money by making the odds on India shorter than they should be. It means there are times when the opponent will have a larger price than we think they should.
India will likely win in this instance, but if you predict the opponent has a good chance than the bookies suggest, then that is where your money should go.
Your vital tool when making cricket predictions is to know when to go against the market.
Understand Betting Odds
Your purpose in predicting the match is to beat the bookmakers and win a good amount of money through betting. But before you can do that, you must have a good understanding of the online betting process and techniques, and cricket betting odds.
If you don’t understand how a betting market works, it will be hard for you to determine whether the betting market is offering good odds or not.
For example, India is up against Australia in a neutral location. The odds for India to win is 8/11 (57.9%), while Australia has 11/10 (47.6%), and the probability of a draw is 1%. Since India has the highest odds, you should bet on India.
Final Thoughts
It takes a long time and a lot of work to make precise cricket match predictions. Fresh data of different players and teams are some of the things you should consider to make your predictions turn out accurately.
It is a continuous process of learning and updating your systems. Bookmakers consistently make money because they are better than others at creating odds and making predictions.
Follow the free cricket betting tips mentioned above, analyse all the data as tabulated in your Excel sheets, and finally use your knowledge of the game to make accurate cricket match predictions.
So, after reading this post, do you think you can make your today’s cricket match predictions come true and beat the bookmakers?
